Climate Change, Uncertainty and Forecasts of Global to Landscape Ecosystem Dynamics

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Presenter: Ronald P. Neilson
Length: 40 min and 40 s

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       Topics:

• Climate Change, Uncertainty and
• Future Climate
• Simulated Historical Vegetation
• Simulated Annual Global Mean
• Assessments of Future Climate
• The Earth's Surface Temperature
• The Low End of Some Models
• The Uncertainties are Often
• Global Assessments
• Uncertainties are Often
• LPJ DGVM Risk Analysis
• Fire Increases Across the Western
• What will happen to Timber
• New Simulated Vegetation Type
• Can Species Keep Up with Climate
• Future Climate Managing for Change
• Where is all the Excess Wood
• Water-limited Carrying Capacity
• Observed and Simulated Fire Area
• Average Biomass Burned Historical
• Average Biomass Burned Future
• 16 Climate Scenarios
• Water Resources
• Current Vegetation (1961-1990)
• Eastern Deciduous Forest
• Future Woody and Grass Expansion
• Community Diversity
• Species Migration
• Change with Uncertainty
• San Francisco Peaks
• 4 Months Later
• A California Assessment
• Three Future Scenarios
• Change in Annual Area Burned
• Interdecadal Climate Variability
• Glacier National Park
• Management Toolbox
• Management Implications

These presentations were produced by Michael J. Furniss and Jeff Guntle, of the US Forest Service, PNW and PSW Research Stations.
US Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Stream Systems Technology Center