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Leveraging
temporal variation in climate and management across national parks
in the western U.S. to characterize three decades of
landscape vegetation dynamics
Funding through NASA’s
New Investigator
Program
P.I. Robert Kennedy
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Spatial patterns of vegetation reflect a
history of interacting biotic and abiotic factors, including
competition, dispersal, climatic effects, topographic
position, nutrient and soil status, disturbance, and
management by humans. Several of these driving factors are
thought to be changing under human influence, and as they
change the spatial patterns of vegetation type and condition
are likely to change as well. Because changes in vegetation
dynamics can adversely affect ecological and socioeconomic
systems, understanding vegetation dynamics and the processes
that drive them is critical for long-term management and
health of those systems, and, by extension, of the Earth
system as a whole. The goal of this project is to develop
satellite-based maps of changes in vegetation dynamics over
time, and to test the extent to which spatial and temporal
patterns of change can be used to infer the relative
importance of human management and climate change on those
vegetative dynamics.
The project will develop maps of 30+
years of landscape dynamics for a suite of national parks in
the western U.S. Mapping vegetation dynamics will be done
with the
Landtrendr algorithm, which captures change in
vegetative cover through analysis of temporal trajectories
of spectral data from satellites, in this case from the
Landsat Thematic Mapper family of sensors.
Conducting this research at national
parks also provides an excellent means of communicating the
importance of space-based research to the public. Through a
series of trainings and workshops, the PI will help NPS
staff build the expertise needed to integrate the products
of this research into existing programs and to build new
programs and materials from the research.
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Testing a new
satellite-image analysis technique to monitor pest related-, fire-,
and post-fire-mortality in the Northwest Forest Plan area of Oregon
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Tree mortality caused by pest epidemics has long been
thought to increase risk of subsequent wildfire, but recent studies
have shown the relationships to be far more nuanced and
situation-specific than previously assumed. In addition to short and
medium-scale climatic conditions, pest agent, forest type and age,
time since pest outbreak, and post-outbreak vegetation dynamics
likely all contribute to variation in fire dynamics and risk over
space and time. If pest epidemics and fire activity in the western
U.S. change as expected under climate change scenarios, then greater
understanding of the interactions between these two disturbance
agents will be required. Spatial and temporally consistent maps of
pest mortality, fire severity, and post-fire vegetation dynamics
must be mapped across a range of forest type, climatic, and
management regimes. While the
Forest Health
Monitoring (FHM) and the
Monitoring Trends in
Burn Severity (MTBS) programs produce maps that meet portions of
these goals, no spatially and temporal consistent measurement tool
exists to capture the full suite of dynamics related to pest, fire,
and management. This gap must be filled if spatially-explicit
monitoring and modeling of fire and pest dynamics are to be
improved.
We are investigating the extent to which our
LandTrendr (Landsat
Detection of Trends in Disturbance and Recovery) algorithms can meet
these mapping needs and lay foundations for predictive modeling of
pest-related fuel loading and risk.
Objectives:
1. Determine the appropriate spatial and temporal grain at which the
LandTrendr algorithms can create maps that complement and augment
FHM aerial surveys in monitoring severity and trends in pest-related
mortality.
2. Utilize derived maps to examine relationships between mortality
caused by pest epidemics, post-epidemic community change, wildfire,
post-fire management, and post-fire vegetation response to build
foundations for future predictive modeling.
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Characterizing landcover trends within Oregon
Coast Coho Salmon habitat
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This project is designed to characterize
spatial and temporal forest disturbance patterns that could
potentially affect the habtitat suitability for the
Oregon Coast Coho Salmon. Disturbance information will be mapped
using trajectory-based techniques derived from annual Landsat
Thematic Mapper (TM) data, potentially merged with existing maps of
seral stage as appropriate. Analytical techniques will focus on
understanding and characterizing spatial patterns according to
watershed, basin, ownership, and management regime, and temporal
patterns related to changes in policy, economic drivers, and
climate.
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North
American
Forest
Dynamics
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North American Forest Disturbance and Regrowth since 1972 (Phase I):
Within the
North American Carbon Program (NACP), there is a strong
recognition that analysis of the forest carbon cycle must include
the effects of disturbance processes. Two key sources of information
to address this problem are: (1) passive optical remote sensing from
the 35+ year Landsat archive and (2) plot-level forest inventory
data from the US Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA)
system. Integrating these two data sources allows us to produce
detailed statistical summaries and maps of disturbance and regrowth.
Phase I work focused on construction of dense Landsat time series
and obtaining a valid statistical sample of disturbance rates
spread across US forests and demonstrating techniques to obtain
changes in aboveground live biomass associated with disturbance and
regrowth by integrating Landsat reflectance trajectories with FIA
plot-level biomass data. Status: Ongoing
Role of North American Forest Disturbance and Regrowth in NACP
(Phase II): Building on the first phase of NAFD, Phase II relies on
the use of dense (annual or biennial) time series of Landsat imagery
that have been integrated with FIA data to produce biomass
trajectories for as many as 50-75 Landsat scenes nationally. This
phase has six major objectives: (1) Reduce error in nationwide
estimates of forest disturbance and regrowth, (2) Convert data cube
reflectance to data cube biomass, (3) Develop nationwide maps of
forest biomass dynamics, (4) Partner with Canada and Mexico, (5)
Develop formal collaborative relationships with other NACP-funded
scientists, and (6) Quantify the forest component of woody
encroachment nationally. Collectively, these activities will expand
and refine our knowledge of North American forest dynamics, and thus
significantly reduce uncertainties in carbon flux estimates.
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Northern
Eurasia Land Dynamics Analysis
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The Northern Eurasia Land Dynamics Analysis (NELDA) project seeks
to harness NASA remote sensing technology and local knowledge of
land-cover conditions in order to validate and improve land
cover/land-cover change products for Northern Eurasia. The
NELDA project will establish a network of test sites for analyzing
land cover, land-cover change, and disturbance captured with time
series of Landsat-resolution imagery. The test sites will
provide data for validation of existing coarse-resolution land-cover
products and samples of important vegetation change and disturbance
processes. We will use these samples to develop and test methods for
continental mapping of vegetation disturbance. Finally, we
will produce a new, updated land cover map for Northern Eurasia
based on MODIS data for circa 2005 at 500-m spatial resolution.
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Northwest Forest Disturbance Mapping Update
LARSE has a long tradition of mapping stand-replacing disturbance
in Pacific Northwest forests (see Northwest Forest Plan Disturbance
Mapping in completed projects section; Cohen et al., 1996; Cohen et
al., 1998; Oetter et al., 2000; Cohen et al., 2002). Previous
projects have resulted in disturbance maps for the Northwest Forest
Plan Area between 1972 and 2002. Currently, we are updating our maps
to 2007 using yearly imagery and trajectory based change detection
as described in the North American Forest Disturbance Project. |
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Mapping Current Conditions & Modeling the Dynamic Responses of
Riparian Vegetation & Salmon Habitat in Oregon
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The proposed research integrates riparian zone
mapping with dynamic models to project the response of riparian
zones, stream channels and salmon habitat to natural disturbance and
land-use activities. The overall objective of this work is to
produce a decision support tool for habitat restoration planning
that incorporates advanced remote-sensing technology and information
about disturbance-recovery processes with existing knowledge of
critical habitat needs for salmonids. The proposal has two
components: 1) remote sensing and riparian mapping, 2) riparian and
aquatic modeling. We will apply the remote sensing and mapping
methods to two intensively monitored watersheds – Nehalem and Middle
Fork John Day Rivers – and apply modeling to them to examine current
conditions relative to the historic range of variability, examine
potential of passive restoration to meet recovery goals, and examine
the potential of active restoration to accelerate recovery.
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Landsat and Vegetation Change: Towards 50 Years of Observation and
Characterization
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The
Landsat
Data Continuity Mission (LDCM) is the next-generation Landsat
satellite, expected to be launched during the summer of 2011. LARSE
Director Warren Cohen serves as a member of the Landsat Science
Team, which provides advice and recommendations to the USGS and
other partners on topics that will affect the overall success of the
LDCM mission. In that capacity, he draws upon various past and
present projects that take advantage of the Landsat archive, the
most temporally extensive, spatially-explicit data record for
understanding vegetation change at a global scale. The two most
important of those projects include the North American Forest
Dynamics Study (NAFD) and the various National Park Service
Inventory & Monitoring projects, both of which focus on the
vegetation monitoring capabilities of Landsat data when used in
combination with inventory and related field and airphoto data.
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Integrating Remote Sensing, Field Observations, and Models to
Understand Disturbance and Climate Effects on the Carbon Balance of
the West Coast U.S.
Our primary
goals were to provide a regional test of the overall North American
Carbon Program (NACP) strategy by demonstrating bottom-up and
top-down approaches to determine the carbon balance of the West
Coast of the US, and to develop global carbon cycle modeling and
analysis focused on the use of remote sensing data.
Phase I of this project focused on modeling and
understanding disturbance and climate effects on the carbon balance
of Oregon and Northern California. Phase II extended this
work to include all of Oregon, Washington and California.
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Mapping Urbanization in the Snohomish Watershed, WA
To satisfy the goals of the Washington
Department of Fish and Wildlife (DFW) and the Washington Governor’s
Office, we are producing maps of urbanization in the Snohomish
watershed during the period 1972-2004. The resulting maps and
write-up will be incorporated by the Salmon Recovery Office into the
"State of the Salmon" report. |
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Landsat Ecosystem Disturbance Adaptive Processing System
LEDAPS is a NASA-funded project to map North American forest disturbance
since 1975 from the Landsat satellite record. LEDAPS will also produce comprehensive maps of surface
reflectance for 1975, 1990, and 2000 for the United States and Canada. LEDAPS
is part of NASA's contribution to the
North American Carbon
Program (NACP), a component of the USGCRP Carbon Cycle Science Program.
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Satellite Laser Altimetry of Forests
This research is exploring how lidar waveforms from the GLAS sensor can be used to estimate forest
height and aboveground biomass over three pilot study areas: the Pacific Northwest, southeast of the
U.S. and the northwestern Amazon Basin. With no other global lidar data collection scheduled for the
near future, GLAS data represent an importnant source of information for global forest canopy height
and aboveground biomass.
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Assessing Eastern North American Forest Disturbance and Regrowth: Potential from Passive Optical
Remote Sensing Evaluated in the Mid-Atlantic Region
This project was funded by NASA Terrestrial Ecology Program in support of the North American Carbon
Program (NACP). The Forest Cover Change
Project had the following goals:
1. To evaluate approaches for monitoring Mid-Atlantic land- and forest-cover change, disturbance, and
recovery with passive optical satellite remote sensing observations (i.e. Landsat, MODIS, IKONOS).
2. To create a validated set of techniques for exploiting passive optical remote sensing to provide
the needed forest measurements in Eastern U.S. forests that will support NACP goals.
3. To address a hierarchy of increasing measurement difficulty: (a) mapping forest disturbance, regrowth,
and change; (b) obtaining forest age assessments for regenerating forests; and (c) obtaining direct
estimates of biomass and biomass change for regenerating forests.
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Partial Harvest Mapping Project
We collected field and photo data to support an effort to map partial harvests in central
Washington. This project complemented previous and ongoing work to map stand-replacing
harvests and fires in the Pacific Northwest. Our goal was to estimate change in forest
cover as a continuous variable for two focus areas identified as critical by the Washington
Department of Fish and Wildlife (DFW). We also provided estimates of the loss of biomass
associated with detected partial harvests. This project was funded by the Washington DNR
and DFW.
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Linking In Situ Measurements, Remote Sensing, and Models to Validate MODIS Products Related
to the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle
The overall goal of BigFoot was to provide validation of MODLand (MODIS Land Science Team)
science products, including land cover, leaf area index (LAI), fraction absorbed photosynthetic
active radiation (fAPAR) , and net primary production (NPP). To do so, we used ground measurements,
remote sensing data, and ecosystem process models at sites representing different biomes.
BigFoot sites measured 5 x 5 km in size and surrounded the relatively small footprint (1 km2) of
CO2 flux towers. At each site we made multi-year in situ measurements of ecosystem structure and
functional characteristics related to the terrestrial carbon cycle. Our sampling design allowed us to
explicitly examine scales of fine-grained spatial pattern in these properties, and provided for a
field-based ecological characterization of the flux tower footprint. Multi-year measurements ensured
that inter-annual validity of MODLand products were assessed.
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Northwest Forest Plan Disturbance Mapping Project
This project's goal was the detection and mapping of stand replacement disturbances occurring in the
Northwest Forest Plan Area between 1984 and 2002. Both clear-cuts and major fire events produce
significant changes in forest cover that are readily detected in sequential Landsat images. Building
on earlier LARSE research (Cohen et al., 1998; Oetter et al., 2000; Cohen et al., 2002), we employed
a relatively simple, cost-effective change-detection method that is roughly 90% accurate
(Cohen et al., 2002). The immediate use of this map was to monitor the effectiveness of the
Late-Successional and Old-Growth Module of the Northwest Forest Plan. Other potential uses may include
habitat modeling and regional evaluation of changing forest management practices.
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Modeling Carbon Dynamics and Their Economic Implications in Two Forested Regions: Pacific Northwestern USA and
Northwestern Russia
This research project was drafted to compare two significant forest regions, the United States Pacific Northwest
and the St. Petersburg region of Russia, with the overall objective of determining the relative importance of
land-use versus biogeoclimatic factors in controlling spatial and temporal patterns of carbon dynamics. Our
laboratory's involvement in the effort was to provide the remote sensing components of the land cover and
disturbance maps that drive the carbon flux modeling process.
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Regional Analysis of Net Ecosystem Productivity of Pacific Northwest Forests: Scaling Methods, Validation and
Results Across Major Forest Types and Age Classes
Net ecosystem productivity (NEP) is a critical characteristic of terrestrial ecosystem response to environment.
Processes controlling NEP operate on a variety of temporal and spatial scales and are influenced by physiology,
allocation, forest development, climate and disturbance. We are simulating NPP and NEP in Oregon and Washington
using a combination of remote sensing, site data, and process models. Model outputs are being tested using
detailed ecosystem studies at intensive sites, more basic ecological measurements at other existing intensive
sites, and survey data from Forest Health Monitoring (FHM), Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) plots, and
Current Vegetation Survey (CVS) plots. In spatially explicit applications, we are predicting and evaluating
forest productivity for an east-west longitudinal swath along a steep climatic gradient through central Oregon
from the coast to the semi-arid east side of the Cascade Mountains, and a north-south latitudinal swath from the
south.
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Interagency Vegetation Mapping Project (IVMP)
The Interagency Vegetation Mapping Project (IVMP) is a joint effort by the Forest Service and Bureau of Land
Management to map forest structure and composition variables (quadratic mean diameter, percent canopy cover,
and percent cover of broadleaves and conifers) in western Oregon and Washington using Landsat-5 TM data.
Project products will be used in the effectiveness monitoring of the Northwest Forest Plan (NWFP) modules
including late-successional / old-growth forests, northern spotted owls, marbled murrelets and aquatic /
riparian species. IVMP is using regression modeling to relate satellite spectral values to “ground
truth” derived from inventory plots in order to map forest characteristics as continuous variables rather
than as classes. This technique allows the same map product to be delivered to each NWFP module team, which then
can break the map into classes appropriate for their specific needs.
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Integration of Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus and Lidar for Forest Ecosystems
The overall goal of this project is to provide a framework for integrating Landsat, lidar, ground, and
environmental data for applications in forest ecology. The research addresses two primary objectives:
Objective 1. Statistically relate lidar waveforms to ground-measured forest structural attributes.
Objective 2. Develop alternative strategies for characterizing forest structure and composition over large
landscapes using combined Landsat, lidar, ground, and environmental data.
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Pacific Northwest Ecosystem Research Consortium: Willamette River Basin Mapping Project
The Pacific Northwest Ecosystem Research Consortium (PNW-ERC), funded by the Environmental Protection Agency,
was created "to address specific priority environmental problems in the Northwest, while at the same time
developing the ecological understanding and scientific approaches needed to implement ecosystem management on a
broad scale." There are 31 focused projects within the PNW-ERC, addressing a wide variety of ecological
research questions over two different ecological provinces. The Willamette River Basin Mapping Project (WRBMP)
is an effort to provide a detailed land use/ land cover map of the Willamette River Basin from Landsat Thematic
Mapper (TM) data. This map will be used to correlate current land use patterns with existing ecological
conditions, and to provide the reference for the generation of future land cover scenarios. In addition, the map
will be used by various local planning groups, including the Willamette Valley Livability Forum and the Governor's
Watershed Councils.
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Causes and Consequences of Land Cover Change in a Greater Ecosystem: Trend and Risk Assessment, Monitoring,
and Outreach
The Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem (GYE) is probably typical of many greater ecosystems surrounding nature
reserves. Abiotic factors result in biodiversity and intense human land use overlapping on private lands
outside of nature reserves. Thus, these reserves, typically thought of as refugia for biodiversity, may be
insufficient for maintaining native species. The goal of this study is to better understand these linkages
between biodiversity and land use. Hopefully, with this knowledge, decision makers can find ways to better
sustain both native species and the growing human community in the GYE.
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Warren Cohen, Director
Zhiqiang Yang, co-Director
Maureen Duane, Lab Manager
USDA Forest Service and Oregon State University
3200 SW Jefferson Way
Corvallis, OR 97331
larse@fsl.orst.edu
Disclaimers
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